Description

This analysis provides a forecast of IMX10603 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-04 0.175843 0.190566 0.206149 0.223907 0.243625 0.264897 0.289645
2026-01-11 0.150200 0.171108 0.194676 0.223367 0.257563 0.297280 0.347286
2026-01-18 0.131414 0.155000 0.182790 0.218269 0.262824 0.317545 0.390810
2026-01-25 0.117018 0.141719 0.171829 0.211727 0.263956 0.331072 0.425633
2026-02-01 0.106808 0.132243 0.164145 0.207778 0.266984 0.346158 0.462924
2026-02-08 0.098053 0.123680 0.156611 0.202890 0.267675 0.357398 0.495250
2026-02-15 0.091187 0.116941 0.150759 0.199466 0.269624 0.369995 0.530264
2026-02-22 0.087378 0.113914 0.149521 0.202091 0.280045 0.395371 0.587106
2026-03-01 0.082778 0.109443 0.145892 0.200869 0.284491 0.411924 0.631608
2026-03-08 0.078236 0.104733 0.141556 0.198174 0.286296 0.424280 0.670291
2026-03-15 0.073645 0.099667 0.136359 0.193741 0.284903 0.431180 0.700101
2026-03-22 0.071864 0.098504 0.136711 0.197677 0.296933 0.460954 0.774002
2026-03-29 0.069580 0.096559 0.135899 0.199923 0.306715 0.488468 0.848809
2026-04-05 0.066909 0.093905 0.133872 0.200113 0.313121 0.510862 0.917399
2026-04-12 0.063361 0.089739 0.129274 0.195779 0.311362 0.518316 0.956978
2026-04-19 0.059781 0.085345 0.124076 0.190086 0.306711 0.519871 0.984330
2026-04-26 0.056981 0.082017 0.120373 0.186638 0.305740 0.528195 1.027353
2026-05-03 0.054205 0.078599 0.116345 0.182364 0.302893 0.532531 1.062028
2026-05-10 0.051892 0.075803 0.113180 0.179368 0.302148 0.540891 1.107153
2026-05-17 0.050809 0.074908 0.113053 0.181665 0.311522 0.570663 1.208076
2026-05-24 0.049132 0.072980 0.111117 0.180596 0.314296 0.586933 1.278454
2026-05-31 0.047314 0.070745 0.108558 0.178237 0.314326 0.597299 1.335420
2026-06-07 0.045324 0.068151 0.105275 0.174354 0.311002 0.599968 1.372388